Using the previous machine learning model, I am going to predict this Wednesday match result. Running my model gives:
Real Madrid vs Manchester United
- Probability of draw is 0.9993.
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Probability of Real Madrid winning against Manchester United is 0.5074.
- Since the probability of draw is very high, it is very likely that the match will end until penalty kicks. The score difference will be 1.
Tottenham vs Milan
- Probability of draw is 0.999.
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Probability of Tottenham winning against Milan is 0.513.
- Same as above, I suspect the match will end with penalty kicks. Score difference is 1.
Barcelona vs Roma
- Probability of draw is 0.999.
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Probability of Barcelona winning against Roma is 0.512.
- Same as 1 and 2. Score difference is 1.
Currently, the model is based on each team’s ranking. It does not take into account individual player’s ranking. I am excited to see the results.
Edit:
MU vs RM : 2 – 1
T vs M : 1 – 0
B vs R : 2 – 4
The model is 2/3 correct. I was not expecting Roma to win against Barcelona. Next time, I should take into account of all 11 players’ ratings in the model.
